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2024-12-13 16:25:39

Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)"39 people were pardoned and nearly 1,500 people were commuted", White House: Biden announced "the largest single-day commutation action in modern history", CBS, NBC and other media reported that the White House issued a statement on the 12th local time, saying that US President Biden announced that he would pardon 39 Americans convicted of non-violent crimes and commute the sentences of nearly 1,500 people who were released at home during the COVID-19 epidemic. According to the White House statement, this move represents "the largest single-day commutation action in modern history" in the United States. According to the statement, Biden said that he will take more relevant measures in the next few weeks and will continue to review petitions for pardon and commutation. (World Wide Web)During the "slimming" of the brokerage business department, more than 100 companies were cancelled during the year, and the competition turned to differentiated services. The brokerage business of brokerage companies is welcoming a new round of changes. In the past few days, a number of brokers have announced the cancellation of their relevant business departments. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, in the past two weeks, many brokers such as Nanjing Securities, Guosen Securities and Pacific Securities announced that they would "streamline" their business departments. Looking at it for a long time, more than 35 brokers have issued announcements during the year, "downsizing" hundreds of business departments. Insiders pointed out that the traditional offline outlet business development model has increasingly shown drawbacks and high cost pressure; At the same time, more and more customers rely on online transactions and mobile terminal transactions, so it is imperative to "streamline" the business department to reduce costs and increase efficiency. Future competition depends more on differentiated financial management and trading services. (Shell Finance)


Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the fifth consecutive trading day.Japanese government bond futures rose, recovering some of the earlier declines.


Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)Real estate stocks are active again and again. Huayuan Real Estate and Qixia Construction both have daily limit, while Huayuan Real Estate, Qixia Construction, Xinhualian and Xinhuangpu have daily limit, while Suzhou Gaoxin, China Wuyi and Shahe shares have followed suit.Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.

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